Strontium (Sr) is a divalent metal, with face centered cubic structure,
density 2.60 gcm-3 and molar mass 87.6 g.
a Calculate the atomic density, the number of atoms per unit
volume for Sr
b Determine the lateral dimensions of the conventional fcc
unitary cell.
c Using the free electron model at T=0, calculate the Fermi
energy Ef for Sr.
d The electrical resistivity of Sr at 77K is ρ = 7.0×10-8 Ωm.
Calculate, at that temperature:
1. The average time between electron collisions
2. The electron mean free path
Strontium (Sr) is a divalent metal, with face centered cubic structure, density 2.60 gcm-3 and molar mass 87.6?
How can this paper not have an effect on the current climate debate.?
People are saying that this paper is irrelevant in the current climate debate because in its conclusion it states that solar forcing is not responsible for the late 20th century warming.
http://icecap.us/images/uploads/ScienceSunspotsandclimate.pdf
In its thesis statement they state:
"Two mechanisms, the top-down stratospheric response of ozone to fluctuations of shortwave solar forcing and the bottom-up coupled ocean-atmosphere surface response, are included in versions of three global climate models, with either mechanism acting alone or both acting together. We show that the two mechanisms act together to enhance the climatological off-equatorial tropical precipitation maxima in the Pacific, lower the eastern equatorial Pacific sea surface temperatures during peaks in the 11-year solar cycle, and reduce
low-latitude clouds to amplify the solar forcing at the surface."
Lets make two assumptions: First of all, the forcing given to co2 by the GCM models are correct. Secondly, the premise of this paper is also correct. Wouldn’t this paper prove that the current low solar forcing would offset any greenhouse gas forcing at least partly? So why are people saying that this paper is irrelevant in the current climate debate?
Blob and Dana: So in others words are you saying that when the sun is at its low end of its cycle (with minimum sun spots) it will have an effect, but when the sun enters a period of a low solar cycle (with also less sun spots) it will not?
Basically what I mean that if low sun spots affect climate during an eleven year cycle why wouldn’t low sun spots effect climate during a period of low solar activity like the maunder minimum where there were no sun spots, or the present period if sun activity does not pick up.
how can I select the best global climate model (GCMs)?
I want to study on glimate change and I want to select one GCM to start.
Who is responsible for QA(Quality Assurance), i.e. testing, the GCM's (Global Climate Models), who SHOULD be?
"The results of my direct correspondence about these matters with several of the US agencies and personnel involved in GCM development and applications, and analyses of CO2 and Climate Science, with a strict focus on software Verification and SQA, have shown that Verification and SQA are not considered necessary aspects of any analyses of these important issues. My correspondence has been with appropriate personnel at NASA and GFDL, among others. Correspondence with editors of several of the high-impact Journals in Climate Science, Journals such as Nature, Science, and those published by the AGU, AMS, AAAS, for examples, indicate the same results. These Journals do not have Verification and SQA requirements in place for the papers submitted for publication."– from a letter by Dan Hughes to Rona Birmbaum
"Third, they have undergone an extensive peer-review process and been validated by numerous scientific bodies."–Rona Birnbaum
Chief, Climate Science & impacts Branch
http://danhughes.auditblogs.com/2009/06/10/epa-hq-and-software-quality-assurance/
As my personal training is in the area of computer science, I am appalled that one so high up in the food chain thinks that an "extensive peer-review" process is a valid substitute for actual code testing.
Does this dimwit have any idea what the process of regression testing encompasses? How is it that a peer-reviewer, caught up with the time requirements of their own projects, has the time to write a "valid" test plan and perform it to the extent required to validate a GCM? She is obviously out of her mind and her league. She would best be best advised to sit this one out and leave it to the experts in this area.
How many of you out there even realize that today’s modern software systems are NEVER bug free. When you have a million lines of code it is impossible to keep all errors out.
Considering that fact now think about how many times the AGW supporters have tried to convince you that you should believe based on the output of these models. Absolutely baffling, if they are so accurate, then why have they never been tested?
So what do you think, who SHOULD be responsible for insuring QA in these systems that we are basing BILLION dollar decisions on?
pegminer:
Show me one test plan for the dozen or so GCM’s that exist?
I have personally taken part in software testing. Do you know the slightest thing about testing or what cases you need to check for when designing one? Or do you think that because you have written a few VB applications for your varied scientific projects that you are now qualified to decide when code has been tested?
Just because you have studied science does not mean you know a da** thing about software design or validation.
The GCM code is publicly available. Where are the test plans? As is illustrated in the excerpt from David Hughes letter, nobody feels that vlidation is "necessary". Well why the h*** not? We aren’t talking about spending 0 on an operating system that might flash you the blue screen of death every 5 minutes, we are talking about a mufti-billion dollar investment to fight global warming, based heavily on the output of this software.
pegminer:
I am beginning to believe that you are naive enough to believe that software testing can actually consist almost entirely of running a program to "see what happens."
This is not how software testing is done. The sooner those of you in the Climate Science community, and those following you blindly, realize this the sooner we can get get some actual work done.
Hi Dawei:
There are any number of errors that can occur in software from failing to check for array bounds to initializing variables incorrectly, to using multiple pointers to access the same variable, intermittently changing a value. Then the next time you use the variable for no discernible reason it has changed. If your lucky it is a catastrophic error. Then there is the whole problem that 0 may or may not be zero. So what happens when you cast a float (decimal) to an integer and back? For example lets say I have a number 3.247237 and I actually need it to 4 decimal places. But somewhere somebody has cast the value to an integer. Now the value is 3. Sometimes casting can occur automatically and when I cast it back it might be something like 3.0002 because floating values are not exactly 0
Just imagine what could happen if you have enough numbers that go through this process? Did the writer of the function fail to document this function truncates values
Hi Dawei:
There are any number of errors that can occur in software from failing to check for array bounds to initializing variables incorrectly, to using multiple pointers to access the same variable, intermittently changing a value. Then the next time you use the variable for no discernible reason it is has changed. If your lucky it is a catastrophic error. Then there is the whole problem that 0 is not necessarily 0. for example when you cast a float (decimal value) to an integer and back you loose data. lets say I have a number 3.247237 and I actually need it to 4 decimal places. But somewhere somebody has cast the value to an integer. Now the value is 3. Maybe it was automatically cast back and in the process is something like 3.0000002 because floating values are not exactly 0. Just imagine what could happen if enough numbers go through this process?
Or maybe the writer of the function failed to document that this function truncates values at 2 decimal places?
pegimer:
You are a great one for telling others to stick to their area of expertise. I suggest you stick to yours. My education is in software engineering. I don’t care what you think will "pass" as testing. There is a way to do it and a way not to do it.
Software testing has been well studied and documented. So like I said, because you have written a few lines of code in your lifetime you seem to feel that qualifies you in the area of software design and test?
If there is no test plan how can you know it was tested?
For example let’s say I have a function that is getting a pointer to an array of functions. The first time I test it it works. But in subsequent iterations someone has deleted the function my procedure needs. When I tested it it worked. Does that mean my code is valid, even though I have failed to perform regression testes that would have caught my error? Oh, but that is right you have reinvented the wheel. It is Ok to test any old which way.
Pegminer:
You are an arrogant self absorbed hypocrite.
From one of your previous posts: “I think it’s time for the deniers to leave science to the scientists.” http://answers.yahoo.com/question/index;_ylt=Ahgn.VldVTXn6Vvy0QYLkfTty6IX;_ylv=3?qid=20090809024405AAuoKea&show=7#profile-info-NqGkbDetaa
I think it is time for you to leave computer science to computer scientists, such as Dan Hughes and those of us actually trained in the field.
Pegminer:
Although you are not a trained computer scientist, you are willing to use your limited knowledge about computing from the few basic programs you have written within the framework of your research as a testimony to how much you know about software testing. If there are “other ways” of testing, then tell me, what is a “valid” test?
You’re a climate scientist right? Exactly how much time do you spend in a week writing test cases? How many test plans have you written to test the code? If you have “peer-reviewed” software when do you go back and test it again to be sure it hasn’t broken since your last test? You are a peer-reviewer right? How much time do you have in a week to alot to quality assurance of other peoples’ work? How much of your precious time are you willing to spend on testing in a week?
An excerpt from the university at which I received my degree: “Less than 10 percent of computer sci¬ence programs in the U.S. are accred¬ited by the Computer Science Accredi¬tation Commission.” My university is one of those less than %10. I know for a fact that it is very easy to write unmaintainable spaghetti code. I have worked with individuals that create such atrocities.
As I have shown you verifiably in the excerpts from Dan Hughes letter, that the science “has not been done.” The most important ingredient has been left out, testing. Would you fly in an airliner with untested software systems?
I wanted to point out one last thing for people to consider if you come across this question.
Pegminer asserts that the testing of the GCM’s is far greater than anything he has seen at a simulation company.
This assertion from a climate scientist is in direct conflict with the evidence which shows that SQA is not "deemed necessary"
If the agencies responsible for generating the GCMs response to a letter inquiring about SQA is that it is "not deemed necessary", then how does pegminer expect us to take him at his word?
In all of pegminer’s ramblings not once was the issue of the agencies not deeming testing necessary addressed, which was the root of the question.
In all of the answers only part of the question got answered. I feel that the problem of testing the GCM’s and the data is an important one. We must not let a few ego filled scientists wanting the lime light steal the show prematurely. Let the science and the methods mature.
So here is my suggestion:
Let’s establish an independent organization that is solely responsible for verification of GCM’s. Let this organization be responsible for developing tests and performing them on any code used in GCM calculation.
Let’s also establish an independent Climate Data Standards Committee to which all experiments utilized to dictate public policy must comply.
We need to make the science better before it can be used to form the basis of billion dollar decisions.
Why don't any GCM's assume rising temperature is cause for increasing CO2?
It seems to me that every GCM(Global Climate Models) assumes that CO2 is a driving factor. Why has nobody tried making a model that assumes the opposite. Although this would not provide conclusive proof of a causal relationship at least then the modelers would be covering both bases.
As the saying goes assume makes an *ss out of u and me.
It is almost always the assumptions that you make that trip you up from seeing the truth.
James E:
Actually if a room is filled with 100% CO2 and another with similar qualities is filled with regular air. When light is shone on both rooms the CO2 filled room’s temperature will rise faster.
http://www.espere.net/Unitedkingdom/water/uk_watexpgreenhouse.htm
Actually what you say may be incorrect if the paper referred to on this site is correct.
http://jennifermarohasy.com/blog/2009/03/the-available-evidence-does-not-support-fossil-fuels-as-the-source-of-elevated-concentrations-of-atmospheric-carbon-dioxide-part-1/
There’s a lot to read so I’m just going to post it for readers to read through. I’m going to read through it myself.
Dawie:
My last comment was in reference to your comments about isotopes.
Jerry Lee:
Interesting and true. Not to mention the infrinite number of permutations of all the possible variables.
Which leads to another question? What qualifies as "good enough?" Seems all these models are run but nobody has defined what it means to be "good enough." In other words, at what point is a model’s prediction considered so bad that its results are thrown out? I don’t remember hearing anything about this.
panurge2:
Your arguments are so profound, I’ll let time be your judge.
Dana:
I take everything the the contemptible lot at Real Climate says with a grain of salt. They are extremely biased with one foot in science another in witch hunt. As in whichever scientist disagrees with their doctrine, that person is the witch.
If you are a witch then the good censoring author’s at realclimate.org have shown no scruples in how they will "attempt" to discredit your views. Even when we all know that ad hominem attacks are really just a guise to hide incompetence or a losing battle.
Case in point:
http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2008/01/what-if-you-held-a-conference-and-no-real-scientists-came/
This is not the authorship of scientists but schoolyard bullies who punch you in the face if you do not give your lunch money to them.
Why don’t you try real scientific literature instead of their mindless banter.
I’m sorry I come off strong at times. I really don’t mean to be offensive. Just trying to get people to think for themselves.
Too many people in this world buy every "scientific" fact, even when scientists have proven time and again that they are human. They make mistakes and last but not least they are not always driven by pure motives.
Please, if you do not agree with me, at least think for yourself.
I’m going to apologize here. Dana, my remark about real science literature was uncalled for. I’m sorry.
Those are my opinions about realclimate.org. That does not mean that they are never on. I just find it hard to read that site because it is extremely filled with rhetoric.
Everybody has a bias, whether stated or unstated. It is not possible to be human without a bias.
Realclimate angers me because they have an aire of superiority. If you don’t believe what they believe, doesn’t matter what your qualifications are, your a kook. Rather than dealing with an issue they will "discredit", censor, or anything else that makes them smell like roses. They simply can not admit they are ever wrong.
Bucket22:
Scientist != infallible. (!= c lingo for not equal)
No they are not Michael Mann’s Hockey stick has been statistically discredited, by more than one source, but that doesn’t stop him from touting it as truth.
Just because a scientist is credentialed does not make him right.
Dr. Hathaway predicted Solar Cycle 24 would start in late 2006 early 2007. http://www.solarcycle24.com/news.htm
It still has not started. Does that mean the sun (a scientific fact) was wrong or the scientific consensus (a hypothesis)?
Until you can differentiate these two concepts I don’t think you have a mature understanding of science.
Bucket22:
Can I have your email so I can tell you I told you so in 50 years? Do you really think the argument for AGW is that strong?
Out of all the science disciplines in the wold Climate Science is a baby. Yet these buffoons stomp around as if they have all the answers. It is mind boggling how ridiculous the assumptions they make are.
What they are doing is akin to the Wright Brothers claiming to have mastered flight after flying their airplane for the first time.
They need to do their homework and get it right. Then in 50-100 years from now climate scientists can claim to have mastered climate science. But these scientists don’t want to do their homework and get the basis right, no these guys would rather have recognition now.
Einstein was not a published scientist when he came out with e = mc^2. Does that mean we should question its validity? the "peer-reviewed" argument only holds so much weight.
Bucket22:
Maybe you should try reading before you make comments.
Explain to me how this is not a journal?
http://www.multi-science.co.uk/ee.htm
Is it because you don’t like the what the journal says or because you really feel it is not a journal.
I could look at the headphones on my desk and tell you they are actually a computer. does not change the fact that they are headphones.
Bucket22:
"I said it’s not a reputable cited peer-reviewed journal. It’s a journal set up by like-minded political hacks."
Good one. "Discredit"(i.e. ad hominmen, look it up.) anyone you don’t wish to listen to as a hack or paid by oil. Then claim victory.
This is typical cult behavior. Religious cult leaders attain mind control over their subjects in this very manner. They brainwash their followers into believing that only they have the truth and anyone who says otherwise is not to be trusted.
Bucket22:
I’ve never seen anyone quite so versed in double speak. You claim for us to listen to any scientific writer that person needs to be credentialed and published. Then you told me that what Einstein said was okay because it went along with the consensus, in spite of his lack of credentials at the time.
Then you turn around and try to discredit other "credentialed", published, peer-reviewed scientist for no other reason than you don’t like what they have to say.
But you claim that in order for us to listen to a writer they need to be credentialed, published, "peer-reviewed" scientists? Which way is it, you can not have it both ways.?
Maybe you need to take some basic logic courses.
What is causing polar areas to warm faster than other areas of the Earth, if CO2 levels are rising uniformly ?
I have a few vague ideas about why this may be happening – but I have yet to find a straightforward explanation for it in the literature. The GCM models have predicted that warming should be more dramatic around the poles, but again, what would cause this?
Aren't climate model predictions the foundation for CO2 reduction policies?
The GCM (climate models) have taken a beating in the past but have somehow always bounced back as the foundation for future climate projections (and thus CO2 reduction policies).
Will this latest beating change anything?
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/sceptic-rubbishes-computer-modelling-on-climate-change/story-e6frg6xf-1225827285274
What factors do Global Climate Models (GCM) take into account?
I’m doing a Global Warming speech and need to find out what factors (i.e. The sun, atmosphere, cycles, la nina, el nino, what not) the model takes into account.
More specifically, what factors does the climate model the IPCC uses account for?
The source of your info is extremely required, ’cause I need to cite stuff.
I’m doing a persuasive speech on the negative side. I’m saying that Global Warming is not our fault.
Which diagnostic code reader do I need for a '96 Ford?
I purchased a Equus 3145 code reader for my ’96 Taurus. I didn’t realize OBDII codes were only for pre-96 cars. What protocol is used for ’96 and later Fords?
